Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Bologna had a probability of 31.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Bologna win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.
Result | ||
Udinese | Draw | Bologna |
42.17% ( 0.05) | 26.24% | 31.58% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 52.4% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.94% ( -0.02) | 52.05% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.21% ( -0.01) | 73.78% ( 0.01) |
Udinese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.55% ( 0.02) | 24.44% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.12% ( 0.03) | 58.87% ( -0.03) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.35% ( -0.04) | 30.65% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.11% ( -0.05) | 66.89% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Udinese | Draw | Bologna |
1-0 @ 10.55% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 42.17% | 1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.49% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.24% | 0-1 @ 8.86% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.24% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 31.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 60 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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