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DC United
Major League Soccer
May 5, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Audi Field
Philadelphia Union

DC United
2 - 2
Philadelphia

Dajome (9'), Murrell (33')
Ku-Dipietro (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Bedoya (42'), McGlynn (79')
Carranza (20'), Flach (45+2'), Lowe (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: DC United 2-1 Seattle
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Philadelphia 2-3 Seattle
Wednesday, May 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: DC United 2-1 Philadelphia Union

There is little separating the teams heading into this one, and Saturday's clash could easily head either way. That said, we just about back the home side to emerge victorious in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 43.22%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 1-2 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
DC UnitedDrawPhiladelphia Union
43.22% (-0.28 -0.28) 24.49% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03) 32.29% (0.306 0.31)
Both teams to score 58.54% (0.223 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.79% (0.234 0.23)44.21% (-0.232 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.42% (0.227 0.23)66.58% (-0.223 -0.22)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.43% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)20.57% (0.028000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.91% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)53.09% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.69% (0.306 0.31)26.31% (-0.302 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.57% (0.407 0.41)61.43% (-0.405 -0.41)
Score Analysis
    DC United 43.23%
    Philadelphia Union 32.29%
    Draw 24.48%
DC UnitedDrawPhiladelphia Union
2-1 @ 9.04% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.56% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
2-0 @ 6.77% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.57% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.18% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.88% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.26% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 43.23%
1-1 @ 11.42% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.03% (0.033 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.41% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.48%
1-2 @ 7.63% (0.047999999999999 0.05)
0-1 @ 7.22% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.82% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.4% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.69% (0.037 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.15% (0.034 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.13% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 32.29%

How you voted: DC United vs Philadelphia

DC United
63.6%
Draw
0.0%
Philadelphia Union
36.4%
11
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2023 12.30am
DC United
1-3
Philadelphia
Ku-Dipietro (88')
Miller (36')
Uhre (5'), McGlynn (13'), Gazdag (38' pen.)
Harriel (68'), Glesnes (76'), Donovan (90+4')
May 18, 2023 12.55am
Aug 21, 2022 12.30am
DC United
0-6
Philadelphia
Uhre (37'), Gazdag (45+4' pen.), Carranza (47', 70', 74'), Burke (79')
Jul 9, 2022 12.30am
Aug 29, 2021 1am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami16104238211734
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1510322314933
3New York City FCNY City158251916326
4Columbus Crew146622113824
5New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC156451413122
7Toronto157172424022
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia144642521418
9DC United154652125-418
10Nashville SCNashville143741720-316
11Orlando City144461522-716
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta143471717013
13CF MontrealMontreal143471731-1413
14Chicago Fire152581427-1311
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1585230171329
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd137422417725
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy156722722525
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles147342519624
5Austin FCAustin156542018223
6Colorado RapidsColorado156452726122
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver145452017319
8Houston DynamoHouston145361315-218
9Seattle SoundersSeattle154561818017
10Portland TimbersPortland154472830-216
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas133461620-413
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas142572226-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1532102334-1111


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