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Nashville
Major League Soccer
Apr 7, 2024 at 1.30am UK
First Tennessee Park
Philadelphia Union

Nashville
1 - 2
Philadelphia

Surridge (42')
Godoy (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Carranza (62'), Gazdag (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and Philadelphia Union, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nashville 2-2 Columbus Crew
Sunday, March 31 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 0-2 Philadelphia Union

The Boys in Gold look disorganised defensively, and they are coming up against a Union side that are finding their form in the attacking third, which we believe will spell trouble for the home side this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 43.5%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 31.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.

Result
Nashville SCDrawPhiladelphia Union
43.5% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 25.24%31.25% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 55.51% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)47.96% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.86% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)70.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.98% (0.0020000000000095 0)22.02% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.66% (0.0020000000000024 0)55.34%
Philadelphia Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.18% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)28.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.33% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)64.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 43.5%
    Philadelphia Union 31.26%
    Draw 25.23%
Nashville SCDrawPhiladelphia Union
1-0 @ 9.6% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 9.04%
2-0 @ 7.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 4.56%
3-0 @ 3.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.84%
4-1 @ 1.73%
4-0 @ 1.39%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 43.5%
1-1 @ 11.94%
0-0 @ 6.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.62%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.23%
0-1 @ 7.89%
1-2 @ 7.43% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.91% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.08%
2-3 @ 2.33%
0-3 @ 2.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 31.26%

How you voted: Nashville vs Philadelphia

Nashville SC
0.0%
Draw
28.6%
Philadelphia Union
71.4%
7
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 12.30am
Jul 13, 2023 1.30am
Nashville
0-2
Philadelphia

Lovitz (39'), Leal (43'), Bunbury (71')
Lovitz (81'), Moore (90+5')
Gazdag (40' pen., 84')
Curtin (40'), Wagner (44'), Gazdag (84')
Carranza (90+5')
May 1, 2022 9pm
Gameweek 3
Nashville
1-1
Philadelphia
Leal (85' pen.)
Lovitz (33'), Muyl (37'), Davis (49'), Leal (76')
Uhre (66')
Wagner (60'), Andres Martinez (62'), Blake (84')
Nov 28, 2021 10.30pm
Philadelphia
1-1
Nashville
Philadelphia win 2-0 on penalties
Gazdag (45+2')
Williams (38')
Leal (90+5')
Oct 24, 2021 12.30am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami16104238211734
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1510322314933
3New York City FCNY City158251916326
4Columbus Crew146622113824
5New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC156451413122
7Toronto157172424022
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia144642521418
9DC United154652125-418
10Nashville SCNashville143741720-316
11Orlando City144461522-716
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta143471717013
13CF MontrealMontreal143471731-1413
14Chicago Fire152581427-1311
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1585230171329
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd137422417725
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy156722722525
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles147342519624
5Austin FCAustin156542018223
6Colorado RapidsColorado156452726122
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver145452017319
8Houston DynamoHouston145361315-218
9Seattle SoundersSeattle154561818017
10Portland TimbersPortland154472830-216
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas133461620-413
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas142572226-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1532102334-1111


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