MX23RW : Tuesday, May 28 18:40:19| >> :600:291490:291490:
Real Sociedad logo
Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
Reale Arena
PSG logo

Real Sociedad
1 - 2
PSG

Merino (89')
Kubo (42'), Zubeldia (54')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mbappe (15', 56')
Mendes (28'), Hakimi (42'), Dembele (45+4')

The Match

Match Report

Kylian Mbappe scores twice as Paris Saint-Germain advance to the Champions League quarter-finals courtesy of a 4-1 aggregate win over Real Sociedad.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Real Sociedad and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 2-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match.

Result
Real SociedadDrawParis Saint-Germain
30.27% (-2.271 -2.27) 23.71% (-0.528 -0.53) 46.02% (2.8 2.8)
Both teams to score 60.28% (0.755 0.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.52% (1.47 1.47)41.47% (-1.47 -1.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.12% (1.473 1.47)63.87% (-1.473 -1.47)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.76% (-0.69499999999999 -0.69)26.24% (0.695 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.65% (-0.941 -0.94)61.34% (0.943 0.94)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.73% (1.777 1.78)18.27% (-1.775 -1.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.67% (2.934 2.93)49.32% (-2.933 -2.93)
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 30.27%
    Paris Saint-Germain 46.02%
    Draw 23.7%
Real SociedadDrawParis Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 7.29% (-0.37 -0.37)
1-0 @ 6.41% (-0.574 -0.57)
2-0 @ 4.29% (-0.478 -0.48)
3-1 @ 3.25% (-0.234 -0.23)
3-2 @ 2.77% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.91% (-0.256 -0.26)
4-1 @ 1.09% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-2 @ 0.93% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 30.27%
1-1 @ 10.9% (-0.33 -0.33)
2-2 @ 6.2% (0.04 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.79% (-0.326 -0.33)
3-3 @ 1.57% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.7%
1-2 @ 9.27% (0.242 0.24)
0-1 @ 8.15% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
0-2 @ 6.93% (0.314 0.31)
1-3 @ 5.25% (0.416 0.42)
0-3 @ 3.93% (0.382 0.38)
2-3 @ 3.51% (0.213 0.21)
1-4 @ 2.23% (0.289 0.29)
0-4 @ 1.67% (0.244 0.24)
2-4 @ 1.49% (0.167 0.17)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 46.02%

How you voted: Real Sociedad vs PSG

Real Sociedad
14.4%
Draw
12.7%
Paris Saint-Germain
72.9%
362
Head to Head
Feb 14, 2024 8pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
PSG
2-0
Real Sociedad
Mbappe (58'), Barcola (70')

Le Normand (36'), Traore (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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