Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 42.14%. A draw had a probability of 31% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 26.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.94%) and 1-2 (7.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.49%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
Result | ||
Mallorca | Draw | Real Sociedad |
26.82% ( -0.56) | 31.04% ( 0.11) | 42.14% ( 0.45) |
Both teams to score 37.55% ( -0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
30.48% ( -0.48) | 69.52% ( 0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
13.07% ( -0.31) | 86.93% ( 0.31) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56% ( -0.79) | 44% ( 0.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.88% ( -0.66) | 80.13% ( 0.66) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.06% ( 0.01) | 32.94% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.48% ( 0.01) | 69.52% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Mallorca | Draw | Real Sociedad |
1-0 @ 11.89% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.79% Total : 26.81% | 0-0 @ 14.49% ( 0.26) 1-1 @ 13.21% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.32% Total : 31.03% | 0-1 @ 16.09% ( 0.29) 0-2 @ 8.94% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.71% Total : 42.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 35 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 78 | 22 | 56 | 90 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 35 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 75 | 44 | 31 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
9 | Villarreal | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 59 | 60 | -1 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 35 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |