MX23RW : Tuesday, May 14 19:19:24| >> :600:167312:167312:
Bayern logo
Champions League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 30, 2024 at 8pm UK
Allianz Arena
Real Madrid logo

Bayern
2 - 2
Real Madrid

Sane (50'), Kane (62' pen.)
Mazraoui (46'), Min-jae (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Junior (29', 89' pen.)
Kroos (67'), Vazquez (85+1')

The Match

Match Report

Vinicius Junior scores twice to help Real Madrid rescue a 2-2 draw against Bayern Munich in the first leg of their Champions League semi-final at the Allianz Arena.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League clash between Bayern Munich and Real Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Bayern Munich and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Bayern Munich could line up for Tuesday's Champions League semi-final first leg with Real Madrid.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with Bayern Munich.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 53.12%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 24.98% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.6%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 1-2 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawReal Madrid
53.12% (-0.116 -0.12) 21.9% (0.040000000000003 0.04) 24.98% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 62.26% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.07% (-0.107 -0.11)36.93% (0.111 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.89% (-0.116 -0.12)59.11% (0.119 0.12)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.96% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)14.05% (0.077 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.39% (-0.146 -0.15)41.61% (0.14899999999999 0.15)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.43% (0.0010000000000048 0)27.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.91% (0.0020000000000024 0)63.09% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 53.12%
    Real Madrid 24.98%
    Draw 21.9%
Bayern MunichDrawReal Madrid
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 7.6% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.46% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 6.29% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.88% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.09% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.4% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.99% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.21% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.94% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 53.12%
1-1 @ 9.79% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.19% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 3.87% (0.021 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.74% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 21.9%
1-2 @ 6.31% (0.016 0.02)
0-1 @ 4.99% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.21% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.71% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.66%
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 24.98%

How you voted: Bayern vs Real Madrid

Bayern Munich
26.4%
Draw
13.9%
Real Madrid
59.7%
755
Head to Head
Jul 21, 2019 1am
Pre-season Friendlies
Bayern
3-1
Real Madrid
May 1, 2018 7.45pm
Apr 25, 2018 7.45pm
Apr 18, 2017 7.45pm
Apr 12, 2017 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Bayern
1-2
Real Madrid
Vidal (25')
Martinez (58'), Vidal (90')
Martinez (61')
Ronaldo (47', 77')
Kroos (44'), Carvajal (45')
rhs 2.0
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