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Champions League header

Champions League
Real Madrid logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 29, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Napoli logo

Real Madrid
4 - 2
Napoli

Rodrygo (11'), Bellingham (22'), Paz (84'), Joselu (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Simeone (9'), Zambo Anguissa (47')
Zielinski (49'), Cajuste (90')

The Match

Match Report

Real Madrid secure their spot as Group C winners courtesy of a 4-2 victory over Napoli in Wednesday's Champions League contest at Bernabeu.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash between Real Madrid and Napoli.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Real Madrid and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Real Madrid could line up for Wednesday's Champions League tie against Napoli at the Bernabeu.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's Champions League clash with Napoli.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Cadiz 0-3 Real Madrid
Sunday, November 26 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Napoli

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Atalanta 1-2 Napoli
Saturday, November 25 at 5pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 49.01%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawNapoli
49.01% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 25.05%25.93% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 52.54% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)50.19% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)72.15% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)20.5% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.01% (0.0030000000000001 0)52.98% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.09% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)33.91% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.41% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)70.58% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 49.01%
    Napoli 25.93%
    Draw 25.05%
Real MadridDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 11.01%
2-1 @ 9.44% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.99% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.61% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.7%
4-1 @ 1.98%
4-0 @ 1.83%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 49.01%
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 6.95% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.05%
0-1 @ 7.52% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 6.44% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 4.06% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 25.93%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Napoli

Real Madrid
68.4%
Draw
17.5%
Napoli
14.2%
212
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
Napoli
2-3
Real Madrid
Skiri Oestigaard (19'), Zielinski (54' pen.)
Natan (45')
Junior (27'), Bellingham (34'), Meret (78' og.)
Camavinga (29'), Bellingham (70'), Arrizabalaga (89')
> Match Report
Mar 7, 2017 7.45pm
Round of 16
Napoli
1-3
Real Madrid
> Match Report
Feb 15, 2017 7.45pm
Round of 16
Real Madrid
3-1
Napoli
Benzema (18'), Kroos (49'), Casemiro (54')
Ramos (17'), Modric (52')
Insigne (8')
Zielinski (38'), Mertens (76')
> Match Report
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