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Mali national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Jun 6, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade 26 Mars
Ghana national football team

Mali
vs.
Ghana

Coverage of the World Cup Qualifying - Africa Group Stage clash between Mali and Ghana.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Mali 2-0 Nigeria
Tuesday, March 26 at 9pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Uganda 2-2 Ghana
Tuesday, March 26 at 4pm in International Friendlies

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Mali win with a probability of 54.82%. A draw has a probability of 24.2% and a win for Ghana has a probability of 20.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mali win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Ghana win it is 0-1 (6.87%).

Result
MaliDrawGhana
54.82%24.23% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 20.95% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 49.38% (0.157 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.44% (0.183 0.18)51.55% (-0.184 -0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.65% (0.159 0.16)73.35% (-0.15899999999999 -0.16)
Mali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.29% (0.069000000000003 0.07)18.7% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.94% (0.115 0.12)50.06% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Ghana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.74% (0.143 0.14)39.26% (-0.143 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.03% (0.132 0.13)75.96% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Mali 54.8%
    Ghana 20.95%
    Draw 24.23%
MaliDrawGhana
1-0 @ 12.3% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-0 @ 10.31% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.77% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 5.39% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.42% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.26% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 54.8%
1-1 @ 11.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.34% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.51% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 24.23%
0-1 @ 6.87% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.38% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.21% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.68% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 20.95%

Head to Head
Oct 9, 2020 6pm
Friendlies 1
Mali
3-0
Ghana
Traore (3'), Bilal Toure (49'), Haidara (75')

Lomotey (57')
Jan 21, 2017 4pm
Group Stage
Ghana
1-0
Mali
Gyan (22')
Gyan (82')
Feb 9, 2013 6pm
Jan 24, 2013 3pm
rhs 2.0
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