Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 10
Apr 21, 2024 at 2.15pm UK
Cyncoed Campus Artificial Pitch
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Cardiff MU and Newtown AFC.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newtown AFC win with a probability of 49.5%. A win for Cardiff MU had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newtown AFC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Cardiff MU win was 2-1 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newtown AFC would win this match.