Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Mar 10, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Parque Abraham Paladino
Progreso4 - 3Racing
Lopez (42', 74'), Lemmo (61', 88')
Poiso (72')
Poiso (72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pereira (4'), Alaniz (52' pen.), Sosa (90+3')
Pereira (30')
Pereira (30')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Progreso and Racing de Montevideo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cerro 2-3 Progreso
Friday, March 1 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Friday, March 1 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 2-0 Cerro Largo
Thursday, March 7 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, March 7 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Progreso win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Progreso win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Progreso would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Progreso | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
37.8% ( 0.64) | 27.38% ( -0.14) | 34.82% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 49.64% ( 0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
