Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 14
May 24, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo
Penarol3 - 1Progreso
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Progreso.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Defensor 0-2 Penarol
Saturday, May 18 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, May 18 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
27
Last Game: Fenix 1-0 Progreso
Saturday, May 18 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Saturday, May 18 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
24
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 47.23%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Progreso had a probability of 25.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Progreso win it was 0-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Penarol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Progreso |
47.23% ( -0.06) | 27.65% ( 0.02) | 25.11% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 44.45% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
