MX23RW : Monday, June 3 04:35:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 14
May 25, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
1 - 0
Danubio

Bentancourt (84')
Polenta (83'), Bentancourt (85'), Baez (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Romero (17'), Ferreira (42'), Leyes (90')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Danubio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maldonado 0-2 Nacional
Tuesday, May 21 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Danubio 0-1 Racing
Sunday, May 19 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 58.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 19.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for a Danubio win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nacional in this match.

Result
NacionalDrawDanubio
58.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 22.41% (0.004999999999999 0) 19.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 51.97% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.42% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)46.57% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.15% (-0.026 -0.03)68.85% (0.021999999999991 0.02)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.42% (-0.012 -0.01)15.57% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.46% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)44.54% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.56% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)38.44% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.81% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)75.19% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 58.56%
    Danubio 19.02%
    Draw 22.4%
NacionalDrawDanubio
1-0 @ 11.13% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.42%
3-1 @ 6.13% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.98% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.11% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 58.56%
1-1 @ 10.64%
0-0 @ 5.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.4%
0-1 @ 5.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 5.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.74%
1-3 @ 1.62%
2-3 @ 1.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 19.02%

Head to Head
Nov 16, 2023 12.30am
Gameweek 10
Nacional
1-3
Danubio
Martinez (39')
Martinez (37'), Bocanegra (44'), Baez (83'), Polenta (88')
Baez (87')
Romero (7'), Fernandez (64')
Etchebarne (13'), Lewis (71'), Ferreira (79'), Millan (90')
Apr 9, 2023 7.30pm
Oct 23, 2022 11.30pm
Gameweek 15
Nacional
2-0
Danubio
Fagundez (5'), Suarez (45')
Jun 25, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 3
Danubio
0-1
Nacional

Rea (24'), Vicente (90')
Luis Rodriguez (80')
Marichal (24'), Castro (57'), Laborda (73'), Carballo (90+4')
Jun 5, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 15
Danubio
2-1
Nacional
German Haller Piloni (6'), Rodriguez (72' pen.)
Fossati (13'), Rea (38'), Vicente (49'), Ferreira (76'), Rodriguez (84'), Navarro (90+3')
German Haller Piloni (12'), Rodriguez (84')
Fagundez (61')
Candido (51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PenarolPenarol1513203172441
2NacionalNacional1494128151331
3Defensor SportingDefensor1584331171428
4Boston RiverBoston River148332014627
5ProgresoProgreso147342524124
6Racing de MontevideoRacing155462222019
7LiverpoolLiverpool144642221118
8Cerro Largo145361516-118
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers155371520-518
10Rampla JuniorsRampla154381527-1215
11River PlateRiver Plate153572025-514
12Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado144281318-514
13CerroCerro143561625-914
14DanubioDanubio143471218-613
15FenixFenix153481117-613
16Miramar Misiones152581828-1011


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