MX23RW : Sunday, June 9 08:43:41| >> :300:86500:86500:
Defensor
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Mar 10, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Luis Franzini

Defensor
3 - 3
Nacional

Rivero (22'), Mansilla (52'), Duarte (54')
Bernal (24'), Mansilla (52'), Cuello (54'), Elizari (72'), De Los Santos (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pereyra (10'), Carneiro (59' pen.), Santander (86')
Oliva (81'), Santander (88')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Defensor Sporting and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Racing 1-2 Defensor
Saturday, March 2 at 1pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 36.76%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 (10.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Defensor SportingDrawNacional
35.54% (-0.276 -0.28) 27.7% (0.087 0.09) 36.76% (0.189 0.19)
Both teams to score 48.71% (-0.273 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.89% (-0.336 -0.34)57.11% (0.336 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.01% (-0.27 -0.27)77.99% (0.27000000000001 0.27)
Defensor Sporting Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.42% (-0.34099999999999 -0.34)30.58% (0.341 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.19% (-0.406 -0.41)66.81% (0.407 0.41)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.18% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)29.82% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.09% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)65.91% (0.061000000000007 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Defensor Sporting 35.54%
    Nacional 36.76%
    Draw 27.69%
Defensor SportingDrawNacional
1-0 @ 10.8% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 7.75% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.4% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.06% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 2.53% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 0.91% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 35.54%
1-1 @ 13.07% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.12% (0.117 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.69%
0-1 @ 11.03% (0.13 0.13)
1-2 @ 7.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.68% (0.067 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.69% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 36.76%

Head to Head
Dec 4, 2023 11.30pm
Gameweek 14
Nacional
1-0
Defensor
Rodriguez (81')
Lozano (33'), Chagas (45'), Chagas (45+1'), Rodriguez (74')
Rodriguez (82')

Martinez (29'), De Los Santos (44'), Bernal (65')
May 7, 2023 10pm
Gameweek 14
Defensor
2-2
Nacional
Candido (38' og.), Barcia (70')
Fagundez (17'), Ramirez (53' pen.)
Oct 8, 2022 11.30pm
Gameweek 12
Nacional
1-1
Defensor
Trezza (34')
Elizari (46')
Jun 13, 2022 11.30pm
Gameweek 1
Defensor
0-1
Nacional

Rocha (63')
Ramirez (76')
Carballo (33'), Lozano (90+4')
May 14, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 12
Defensor
0-2
Nacional

Mallo (68'), Balboa (85'), Sant'Anna (85')
Gigliotti (5'), Candido (77')
Monzeglio (23'), Trezza (40'), Coelho (53'), Gigliotti (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Group 1
1Defensor SportingDefensor11002023
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers11002023
3Racing de MontevideoRacing11002113
4ProgresoProgreso00000000
5River PlateRiver Plate00000000
6FenixFenix100112-10
7Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado100102-20
8PenarolPenarol100102-20
Group 2
1Miramar Misiones11001013
2Cerro Largo00000000
3CerroCerro00000000
4NacionalNacional00000000
5Boston RiverBoston River00000000
6Rampla JuniorsRampla00000000
7DanubioDanubio00000000
8LiverpoolLiverpool100101-10
 
Apertura
1PenarolPenarol1513203172441
2NacionalNacional15104131161534
3Defensor SportingDefensor1584331171428
4Boston RiverBoston River158342117427
5ProgresoProgreso157352525024
6Cerro Largo156361616021
7Racing de MontevideoRacing155462222019
8LiverpoolLiverpool154652224-218
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers155371520-518
10CerroCerro154561925-617
11Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado154381419-515
12Rampla JuniorsRampla154381527-1215
13River PlateRiver Plate153572025-514
14DanubioDanubio153571319-614
15FenixFenix153481117-613
16Miramar Misiones152581828-1011


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!