MX23RW : Tuesday, May 28 23:14:57| >> :300:86500:86500:
Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 12
May 1, 2024 at 11am UK
Stadion Chornomorets
Shakhtar Donetsk

Chornomorets
1 - 4
Shakhtar

Badibanga (10')
Vasyliev (31'), Sporn (58')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Gomes (3', 20', 45'), Shved (66')
Bondar (68'), Matviyenko (90')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Chornomorets Odesa and Shakhtar Donetsk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Minai 2-0 Chornomorets
Saturday, April 27 at 11am in Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Cherkasy 0-3 Shakhtar
Saturday, April 27 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 74.66%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Chornomorets Odesa had a probability of 9.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.25%) and 0-3 (10.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.73%), while for a Chornomorets Odesa win it was 1-0 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.

Result
Chornomorets OdesaDrawShakhtar Donetsk
9.08% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04) 16.26% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 74.66% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 44.96% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.57% (0.037999999999997 0.04)41.42% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.18% (0.038000000000004 0.04)63.82% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Chornomorets Odesa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.68% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)50.31% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.12% (-0.045 -0.04)84.87% (0.043000000000006 0.04)
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.49% (0.025000000000006 0.03)9.5% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.12% (0.066999999999993 0.07)31.87% (-0.07 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Chornomorets Odesa 9.08%
    Shakhtar Donetsk 74.64%
    Draw 16.26%
Chornomorets OdesaDrawShakhtar Donetsk
1-0 @ 3.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 2.66% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-0 @ 1.13% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 9.08%
1-1 @ 7.73% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.78% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.12% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 16.26%
0-2 @ 13.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-1 @ 11.25% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 10.38% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.1% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-3 @ 7.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 6.11% (0.021 0.02)
1-4 @ 4.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-5 @ 2.88% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.004 -0)
1-5 @ 1.98% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.44%
0-6 @ 1.13% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 74.64%

How you voted: Chornomorets vs Shakhtar

Chornomorets Odesa
11.1%
Draw
11.1%
Shakhtar Donetsk
77.8%
9
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 19
Chornomorets
2-2
Shakhtar
Putria (8' pen.), Salyuk (41')
Sep 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 4
Shakhtar
2-1
Chornomorets
Shved (74'), Ocheretko (90+6')
Bragaru (9')
Mar 6, 2022 3pm
Aug 21, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
Chornomorets
0-3
Shakhtar

Biloshevskyi (13')
Sudakov (34'), Patrick (45+5'), Solomon (90+3')
Mar 2, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 20
Chornomorets
0-1
Shakhtar

Ryzhuk (42'), Litovchenko (53'), Arzhanov (59')
Marlos (76' pen.)
Kryvtsov (65'), Marlos (92')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar30225363243971
2Dynamo Kiev30223572284469
3Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi30176751302157
4Dnipro-1Dnipro-1301410640271352
5Polissya ZhytomyrPolissya3014883930950
6Rukh Lviv301213544311349
7LNZ CherkasyCherkasy30118113134-341
8FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya30810123038-834
9Vorskla PoltavaVorskla3096153046-1633
10Zorya LuhanskLuhansk30711122937-832
11Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets30102183847-932
12Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka30711122231-932
13Veres30610143146-1528
14Obolon KyivObolon30511141841-2326
15Minai30510152750-2325
16Metalist Kharkiv3058173257-2523


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!