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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 36
May 12, 2024 at 5pm UK
Mersin Stadyumu

Hatayspor
2 - 1
Ankaragucu

Saglam (69'), Dadasov (90')
Sinik (5'), Corekci (53'), Ghoulam (74'), Kardesler (81'), Demir (90+1'), Pedro (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Macheda (84')
Belozoglu (0'), Cankaya (35'), Macheda (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Hatayspor and Ankaragucu, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gaziantep 1-1 Hatayspor
Sunday, May 5 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Ankaragucu 1-1 Alanyaspor
Friday, May 3 at 6pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Hatayspor 1-2 Ankaragucu

Although Pulat's side drew their last league game and ended a run of four successive losses, Hatayspor's recent form is still poor. Ankaragucu's away record is far from perfect, but they will likely be buoyed by the fact that victory at the Mersin Stadium would make them strong favourites for survival with just two games remaining. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 39.16%. A win for Ankaragucu had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Ankaragucu win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.

Result
HataysporDrawAnkaragucu
39.16% (0.055 0.05) 25.77% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 35.06% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 54.86% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.69% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)49.3% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.64% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)71.35% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.23% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)24.76% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.67% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)59.33% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Ankaragucu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.92% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)27.07% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.55% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)62.44% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Hatayspor 39.16%
    Ankaragucu 35.06%
    Draw 25.77%
HataysporDrawAnkaragucu
1-0 @ 9.36% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.53% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 6.53% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.97% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 3.04% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 39.16%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.7% (0.018 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 8.76% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.72% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.49% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 35.06%

Head to Head
Dec 21, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 17
Ankaragucu
0-0
Hatayspor
Saglam (45+1'), Rivas (71')
Apr 23, 2023 5pm
Oct 30, 2022 11.30am
Gameweek 12
Ankaragucu
4-1
Hatayspor
Beridze (3'), Antalyali (61'), Sowe (69'), Diack (90+2')
El Kaabi (86' pen.)
Feb 27, 2021 10.30am
Gameweek 27
Hatayspor
4-1
Ankaragucu
Biram Diouf (45', 55' pen.), David (65' pen., 74')
Sackey (90+1')
Borven (16')
Kitsiou (43'), Akdag (80')
Paintsil (45+6')
Dec 15, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 6
Ankaragucu
2-0
Hatayspor
Sarlija (69'), Paintsil (89')
Pinto (35'), Aygoren (54'), Sarlija (86')

Biram Diouf (11'), Boupendza (85'), Ribeiro (90+1')
Karadeniz (50')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CGalatasarayGalatasaray383332922666102
2Fenerbahce38316199316899
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor382141369501967
4Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul381871357431461
5BesiktasBesiktas38168145247556
6KasimpasaKasimpasa38168146265-356
7SivassporSivasspor381412124754-754
8AlanyasporAlanyaspor381216105350352
9Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor38148164858-1050
10AntalyasporAntalyaspor381213134449-549
11Adana Demirspor381014145461-744
12GaziantepGaziantep38128185057-744
13Samsunspor381110174252-1043
14KayserisporKayserispor381112154457-1342
15Hatayspor38914154552-741
16KonyasporKonyaspor38914154053-1341
RFatih KaragumrukKaragumruk381010184952-340
RAnkaragucuAnkaragucu38816144652-640
RPendikspor38910194273-3137
RIstanbulspor3847272780-5316


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