Karagumruk

1 - 4

Besiktas

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 51.03%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 26.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.39%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.