Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 43.88%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 28.22% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.59%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Udinese | Draw | Lecce |
43.88% ( -0.83) | 27.9% ( 0.03) | 28.22% ( 0.8) |
Both teams to score 45.92% ( 0.38) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.43% ( 0.25) | 59.57% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.09% ( 0.19) | 79.91% ( -0.19) |
Udinese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.02% ( -0.31) | 26.98% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.67% ( -0.41) | 62.33% ( 0.42) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.89% ( 0.79) | 37.11% ( -0.79) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.1% ( 0.78) | 73.9% ( -0.77) |
Score Analysis |
Udinese | Draw | Lecce |
1-0 @ 13.11% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 8.59% ( -0.24) 2-1 @ 8.52% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.9% Total : 43.88% | 1-1 @ 13% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.89% | 0-1 @ 9.93% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.45% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.78% Total : 28.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
10 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
17 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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