Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Frosinone | Draw | Lecce |
43.57% ( 0.03) | 25.92% ( -0.29) | 30.52% ( 0.25) |
Both teams to score 52.96% ( 1.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.88% ( 1.27) | 51.12% ( -1.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.03% ( 1.11) | 72.97% ( -1.11) |
Frosinone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.65% ( 0.57) | 23.34% ( -0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.69% ( 0.83) | 57.3% ( -0.83) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.09% ( 0.83) | 30.91% ( -0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.79% ( 0.96) | 67.2% ( -0.97) |
Score Analysis |
Frosinone | Draw | Lecce |
1-0 @ 10.49% ( -0.37) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.64% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.7% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.01% Total : 43.56% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 5.26% ( 0.15) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.91% | 0-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.24) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 3% Total : 30.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
10 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
17 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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