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Serie A | Gameweek 27
Mar 3, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Benito Stirpe
Lecce logo

Frosinone
1 - 1
Lecce

Cheddira (45+2')
Di Francesco (4'), Jesus (44')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cerofolini (61' og.)
Almqvist (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Frosinone and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 3-2 Frosinone
Sunday, February 25 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 0-4 Inter Milan
Sunday, February 25 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Frosinone 1-0 Lecce

Frosinone have lost four of their last five on home turf, but Lecce are winless on their travels this season, losing eight of 13 road matches, thus making Sunday's game tricky to predict. However, the home side's six wins from 13 games at Stadio Benito Stirpe mean they have a higher chance than Lecce of claiming maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
FrosinoneDrawLecce
43.57% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 25.92% (-0.288 -0.29) 30.52% (0.252 0.25)
Both teams to score 52.96% (1.027 1.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.88% (1.272 1.27)51.12% (-1.274 -1.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.03% (1.106 1.11)72.97% (-1.108 -1.11)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.65% (0.571 0.57)23.34% (-0.574 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.69% (0.826 0.83)57.3% (-0.828 -0.83)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.09% (0.82899999999999 0.83)30.91% (-0.831 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.79% (0.964 0.96)67.2% (-0.96599999999999 -0.97)
Score Analysis
    Frosinone 43.56%
    Lecce 30.52%
    Draw 25.91%
FrosinoneDrawLecce
1-0 @ 10.49% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-1 @ 8.97% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.64% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-1 @ 4.35% (0.097 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.7% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.55% (0.113 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.061 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.35% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 43.56%
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-0 @ 7.22% (-0.376 -0.38)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.148 0.15)
3-3 @ 1% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 8.47% (-0.24 -0.24)
1-2 @ 7.24% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
0-2 @ 4.97% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.83% (0.097 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.06% (0.104 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.95% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3%
Total : 30.52%

How you voted: Frosinone vs Lecce

Frosinone
54.2%
Draw
28.8%
Lecce
16.9%
59
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 16
Lecce
2-1
Frosinone
Piccoli (11'), Ramadani (89')
D'Aversa (17'), Blin (73')
Jorge (33' pen.)
Okoli (24'), Ibrahimovic (38'), Barrenechea (43'), Romagnoli (90+5')
Apr 2, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 32
Lecce
1-0
Frosinone
Coda (40')
Calabresi (54'), Blin (57'), Gallo (89'), Asencio (90+3')

Leon Barisic (18'), Ricci (24'), Gatti (30'), Ciano (71'), Cotali (72')
Nov 20, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 13
Frosinone
0-0
Lecce
Ricci (45'), Lulic (53'), Manzari (86'), Maiello (90')
Hjulmand (34'), Dermaku (76')
Mar 20, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 30
Frosinone
0-3
Lecce

Vitale (42'), Kastanos (55')
Coda (53', 69'), Rodriguez (85')
Majer (65')
Dec 12, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 11
Lecce
2-2
Frosinone
Adjapong (44'), Mancosu (60')
Adjapong (14'), Meccariello (51'), Listkowski (82'), Tachtsidis (90+4')
Parzyszek (15' pen.), Novakovich (89')
Kastanos (58'), Novakovich (88'), Curado (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan38297289226794
2AC Milan38229776492775
3Juventus381914554312371
4Atalanta BCAtalanta372161070393169
5Bologna381814654322268
6Roma381891165461963
7Lazio381871349391061
8Fiorentina371691258441457
9Napoli381314115548753
10Torino381314113636053
11Genoa381213134545049
12Monza381112153951-1245
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38911183851-1338
14Lecce38814163254-2238
15Udinese38619133753-1637
16Empoli3899202954-2536
17CagliariCagliari38812184268-2636
RFrosinoneFrosinone38811194469-2535
RSassuoloSassuolo3879224375-3230
RSalernitana38211253281-4917


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