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Serie A | Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2024 at 2pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Salernitana

Cagliari
4 - 2
Salernitana

Lapadula (12'), Gaetano (40'), Shomurodov (51', 76')
Augello (70')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Kastanos (56'), Maggiore (58')
Kastanos (73'), Sambia (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Salernitana, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Empoli 0-1 Cagliari
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Udinese 1-1 Salernitana
Saturday, March 2 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: Cagliari 2-1 Salernitana

Games between these teams in Serie A produce goals, and Saturday's should be no different, with Cagliari likely to eke out a marginal victory over bottom Salernitana. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 18.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawSalernitana
57.52% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08) 23.9% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02) 18.57% (0.103 0.1)
Both teams to score 46.73% (0.238 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.81% (0.221 0.22)53.18% (-0.222 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.25% (0.189 0.19)74.75% (-0.187 -0.19)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.7% (0.052000000000007 0.05)18.3% (-0.050999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.62% (0.086000000000006 0.09)49.37% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.2% (0.256 0.26)42.8% (-0.256 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.87% (0.216 0.22)79.12% (-0.21599999999999 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 57.52%
    Salernitana 18.57%
    Draw 23.89%
CagliariDrawSalernitana
1-0 @ 13.3% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 11.29% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.4% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.43% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 57.52%
1-1 @ 11.28%
0-0 @ 7.83% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.07% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 23.89%
0-1 @ 6.65% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.79% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.82% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.36% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.15% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 18.57%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Salernitana

Cagliari
66.0%
Draw
20.0%
Salernitana
14.0%
50
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 9
Salernitana
2-2
Cagliari
Dia (86', 90+5' pen.)
Kastanos (52'), Martegani (79'), Gyomber (90+11')
Luvumbo (79'), Viola (88')
Prati (71'), Zappa (80'), Deiola (89'), Makoumbou (90+5')
May 8, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 36
Salernitana
1-1
Cagliari
Verdi (68' pen.)
Bohinen (55'), Zortea (84'), Radovanovic (88'), Perotti (90+6'), Gyomber (90+7')
Ribery (69')
Altare (90+9')
Pavoletti (63'), Cragno (67')
Radunovic (73')
Nov 26, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Cagliari
1-1
Salernitana
Pavoletti (73')
Grassi (27'), Henrique (30'), Pavoletti (79')
Bonazzoli (90')
Veseli (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan37296287206793
2AC Milan37228773462774
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta362061067392866
6Roma371891064442063
7Lazio371861348381060
8Fiorentina361591255421354
9Torino371314103633353
10Napoli371313115548752
11Genoa371113134345-246
12Monza371112143949-1045
13Lecce37813163254-2237
14CagliariCagliari37812174065-2536
15FrosinoneFrosinone37811184468-2435
16Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
17Udinese37519133653-1734
18Empoli3789202753-2633
RSassuoloSassuolo3778224274-3229
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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