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Serie A | Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 at 5pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Roma logo

Cagliari
1 - 4
Roma

Nandez (87' pen.)
Sulemana (14'), Mourinho (44+44'), Obert (61')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Aouar (19'), Lukaku (20', 59'), Belotti (51')
Paredes (11'), Aouar (32'), Mourinho (44'), Bove (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Cagliari and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 3-0 Cagliari
Monday, October 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Roma 4-0 Servette
Thursday, October 5 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Cagliari 0-2 Roma

Cagliari's wait for a win will go on, as even a Roma side that struggles to produce results on the road should have too much firepower for the Isolani to contain. Further relieving the pressure on Jose Mourinho, the visitors may be injury-hit but are rich in attacking talent and can rack up three straight victories in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (8.34%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
CagliariDrawRoma
29.09% (0.833 0.83) 27.95% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 42.96% (-0.79 -0.79)
Both teams to score 46.24% (0.563 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.6% (0.498 0.5)59.39% (-0.503 -0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.22% (0.38 0.38)79.77% (-0.38600000000001 -0.39)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.68% (0.934 0.93)36.32% (-0.94 -0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.89% (0.935 0.93)73.1% (-0.94199999999999 -0.94)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.61% (-0.187 -0.19)27.39% (0.18 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.14% (-0.241 -0.24)62.86% (0.233 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 29.08%
    Roma 42.96%
    Draw 27.94%
CagliariDrawRoma
1-0 @ 10.07% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 6.61% (0.176 0.18)
2-0 @ 5.1% (0.161 0.16)
3-1 @ 2.23% (0.114 0.11)
3-0 @ 1.72% (0.097 0.1)
3-2 @ 1.44% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 29.08%
1-1 @ 13.04% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.95% (-0.183 -0.18)
2-2 @ 4.28% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.94%
0-1 @ 12.88% (-0.31 -0.31)
1-2 @ 8.45% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.34% (-0.247 -0.25)
1-3 @ 3.65% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.6% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.031 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.17% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 42.96%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Roma

Cagliari
11.4%
Draw
11.4%
Roma
77.3%
44
Head to Head
Jan 16, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 22
Roma
1-0
Cagliari
Oliveras (33' pen.)
Oliveras (23'), Mancini (39'), Afena-Gyan (58')

Pavoletti (25'), Carboni (27'), Henrique (32'), Altare (70')
Oct 27, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Cagliari
1-2
Roma
Pavoletti (52')
Pedro (73'), Lykogiannis (77'), Bellanova (87')
Ibanez (71'), Pellegrini (78')
Zaniolo (38'), Pellegrini (79'), Abraham (80'), Calafiori (83')
Apr 25, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 33
Cagliari
3-2
Roma
Lykogiannis (4'), Marin (57'), Pedro (64')
Marin (53'), Pedro (80'), Duncan (90+3')
Perez (27'), Fazio (69')
Cristante (83')
Dec 23, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Roma
3-2
Cagliari
Veretout (11'), Dzeko (71'), Mancini (77')
Cristante (19'), Mancini (37'), Kumbulla (60')
Pedro (59', 90+1')
Zappa (20'), Nandez (29')
Mar 1, 2020 5pm
Gameweek 26
Cagliari
3-4
Roma
Pedro (28', 89'), Pereiro (75')
Pedro (35'), Simeone (69'), Pellegrini (80'), Ragatzu (90')
Kalinic (29', 41'), Kluivert (64'), Mkhitaryan (81')
Under (34'), Villar (55'), Kluivert (78'), Santon (90'), Lopez (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan38297289226794
2AC Milan38229776492775
3Juventus381914554312371
4Atalanta BCAtalanta372161070393169
5Bologna381814654322268
6Roma381891165461963
7Lazio381871349391061
8Fiorentina371691258441457
9Napoli381314115548753
10Torino381314113636053
11Genoa381213134545049
12Monza381112153951-1245
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38911183851-1338
14Lecce38814163254-2238
15Udinese38619133753-1637
16Empoli3899202954-2536
17CagliariCagliari38812184268-2636
RFrosinoneFrosinone38811194469-2535
RSassuoloSassuolo3879224375-3230
RSalernitana38211253281-4917


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