Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 0-1 (9.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bologna in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bologna.
Result | ||
Bologna | Draw | Frosinone |
42.12% ( 0.01) | 27.02% ( -0) | 30.86% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 49.71% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.62% | 55.37% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.42% | 76.58% ( -0) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.03% ( 0.01) | 25.97% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.02% ( 0.01) | 60.98% ( -0.01) |
Frosinone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.14% ( -0.01) | 32.85% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.57% ( -0.01) | 69.42% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Bologna | Draw | Frosinone |
1-0 @ 11.5% 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.76% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.31% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 42.12% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 8.53% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.02% | 0-1 @ 9.5% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.29% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.56% Total : 30.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 60 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
> Serie A Full Table |