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Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 22, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Juventus logo

AC Milan
0 - 1
Juventus


Reijnders (61')
Thiaw (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Locatelli (63')
Weah (52'), McKennie (67'), Gatti (71'), Locatelli (72'), Allegri (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Juventus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Genoa 0-1 AC Milan
Saturday, October 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 2-0 Torino
Saturday, October 7 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 1-0 Juventus

Without a couple of key players due to suspension, Milan may be considered vulnerable going into Sunday's late kickoff. Nevertheless, the Rossoneri still possess an attacking trident that can pierce Juve's watertight defence. One goal could decide a tight contest: in eight of the last 11 Serie A meetings between these teams at San Siro, at least one has failed to score. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 26.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.77%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
AC MilanDrawJuventus
48.58% (-0.611 -0.61) 25.33% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08) 26.09% (0.693 0.69)
Both teams to score 51.82% (0.856 0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.8% (0.82 0.82)51.2% (-0.816 -0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.96% (0.712 0.71)73.04% (-0.708 -0.71)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.91% (0.074000000000012 0.07)21.09% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.08% (0.112 0.11)53.91% (-0.108 -0.11)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.67% (1.024 1.02)34.32% (-1.021 -1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.97% (1.082 1.08)71.03% (-1.077 -1.08)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 48.57%
    Juventus 26.09%
    Draw 25.32%
AC MilanDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 11.26% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.77% (-0.252 -0.25)
3-1 @ 4.86% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.55% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.6% (0.075 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.89% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.77% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 48.57%
1-1 @ 12.04% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.24% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-2 @ 5.01% (0.135 0.14)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.32%
0-1 @ 7.74% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-2 @ 6.44% (0.16 0.16)
0-2 @ 4.14% (0.094 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.3% (0.118 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.79% (0.096 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.48% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 26.09%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Juventus

AC Milan
63.9%
Draw
22.9%
Juventus
13.2%
144
Head to Head
Jul 28, 2023 3.30am
Club Friendlies
Juventus
2-2
AC Milan
Juventus win 0-0 on penalties
Danilo (33'), Rugani (48')
Locatelli (54')
Thiaw (23'), Giroud (39')
Thiaw (15')
May 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Juventus
0-1
AC Milan

Cuadrado (56')
Giroud (40')
Messias (34'), Krunic (64')
Oct 8, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 9
AC Milan
2-0
Juventus
Tomori (45+1'), Diaz (54')
Jan 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
AC Milan
0-0
Juventus
Leao (12'), Messias (42')
Locatelli (9'), Kean (89')
Sep 19, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Juventus
1-1
AC Milan
Morata (4')
Dybala (65')
Rebic (76')
Tonali (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan38297289226794
2AC Milan38229776492775
3Juventus381914554312371
4Atalanta BCAtalanta372161070393169
5Bologna381814654322268
6Roma381891165461963
7Lazio381871349391061
8Fiorentina371691258441457
9Napoli381314115548753
10Torino381314113636053
11Genoa381213134545049
12Monza381112153951-1245
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38911183851-1338
14Lecce38814163254-2238
15Udinese38619133753-1637
16Empoli3899202954-2536
17CagliariCagliari38812184268-2636
RFrosinoneFrosinone38811194469-2535
RSassuoloSassuolo3879224375-3230
RSalernitana38211253281-4917


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