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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 38
May 18, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Tynecastle Park
Rangers logo

Hearts
3 - 3
Rangers

Shankland (34'), Lembikisa (82'), Tagawa (90+5')
Rowles (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)
McCausland (52'), Cantwell (71'), Silva (81')
Dowell (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hearts and Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Mirren 2-2 Hearts
Wednesday, May 15 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Rangers 5-2 Dundee
Tuesday, May 14 at 7.30pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Hearts 2-2 Rangers

An entertaining end-to-end contest could on the cards between these two teams in what is now a dead-rubber fixture. You could argue that Rangers are still favourites to come out on top even without anything riding on this clash, but we believe that Hearts will give the Tynecastle faithful something to cheer and may find a way to claim at least a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 51.29%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 26.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.81%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Hearts win was 2-1 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
HeartsDrawRangers
26.27% (-1.933 -1.93) 22.44% (0.067 0.07) 51.29% (1.873 1.87)
Both teams to score 61.68% (-1.994 -1.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.72% (-1.88 -1.88)38.28% (1.888 1.89)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.44% (-2.027 -2.03)60.56% (2.036 2.04)
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.67% (-2.311 -2.31)27.33% (2.318 2.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.21% (-3.1 -3.1)62.79% (3.109 3.11)
Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.88% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)15.12% (0.045 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.31% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)43.69% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Hearts 26.27%
    Rangers 51.29%
    Draw 22.43%
HeartsDrawRangers
2-1 @ 6.57% (-0.282 -0.28)
1-0 @ 5.36% (0.135 0.14)
2-0 @ 3.48% (-0.144 -0.14)
3-1 @ 2.84% (-0.325 -0.33)
3-2 @ 2.68% (-0.311 -0.31)
3-0 @ 1.5% (-0.169 -0.17)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.175 -0.18)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 26.27%
1-1 @ 10.12% (0.232 0.23)
2-2 @ 6.2% (-0.278 -0.28)
0-0 @ 4.13% (0.362 0.36)
3-3 @ 1.69% (-0.199 -0.2)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.43%
1-2 @ 9.57% (0.212 0.21)
0-1 @ 7.81% (0.672 0.67)
0-2 @ 7.38% (0.624 0.62)
1-3 @ 6.02% (0.123 0.12)
0-3 @ 4.64% (0.386 0.39)
2-3 @ 3.91% (-0.181 -0.18)
1-4 @ 2.85% (0.054 0.05)
0-4 @ 2.19% (0.179 0.18)
2-4 @ 1.85% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-5 @ 1.08% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 4.01%
Total : 51.29%

How you voted: Hearts vs Rangers

Hearts
20.5%
Draw
33.3%
Rangers
46.2%
39
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2024 3pm
Semi-Finals
Rangers
2-0
Hearts
Dessers (5', 78')
Souttar (59'), Raskin (82')

Devlin (59'), Tait (82')
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 27
Rangers
5-0
Hearts
Diomande (2'), Cortes (37'), Dessers (44', 48'), Silva (65')
Souttar (41'), Raskin (78')

Shankland (45+2'), Tait (88')
Dec 6, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 16
Hearts
0-1
Rangers

Vargas (51'), Cochrane (63'), Forrest (90+1')
Sima (34')
Yilmaz (69')
Nov 5, 2023 3pm
Semi-Finals
Hearts
1-3
Rangers
Shankland (81' pen.)
Kingsley (45+3'), Rowles (63'), Devlin (88'), Denholm (90+1')
Kingsley (79')
Tavernier (50' pen., 64'), Wright (55')
Cantwell (29')
Oct 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Rangers
2-1
Hearts
Tavernier (90' pen.), Danilo (90+3')
Lundstram (31')
Shankland (5')
Offiah (15'), Cochrane (72'), Haring (89'), Vargas (90+8'), Forrest (90+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Championship Group
CCeltic550095306593
2RangersRangers531187325585
3Hearts513154421268
4Kilmarnock51224644256
5St Mirren51134652-647
6Dundee50144968-1942
Relegation Group
1Aberdeen54104852-448
2Hibernian52125259-746
3Motherwell52035659-343
4St Johnstone51132954-2535
5Ross County51223867-2935
RLivingston52122970-4125
 
First Phase
CCeltic33246380265478
2RangersRangers33243672234975
3Hearts33195946341262
4Kilmarnock33131284334951
5St Mirren33127143843-543
6Dundee331011124454-1041
7Hibernian33912124451-739
8Motherwell33813124651-537
9Aberdeen33811143549-1435
10St Johnstone33710162446-2231
11Ross County3379173256-2430
RLivingston3339212259-3718


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