Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 58.59%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 19.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.94%) and 2-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Boavista |
58.59% ( -0.33) | 21.81% ( 0.15) | 19.59% ( 0.19) |
Both teams to score 54.93% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.87% ( -0.39) | 43.12% ( 0.39) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.47% ( -0.39) | 65.52% ( 0.39) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.59% ( -0.23) | 14.4% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.68% ( -0.45) | 42.31% ( 0.45) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.18% ( -0.03) | 35.82% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.4% ( -0.03) | 72.59% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Boavista |
1-0 @ 10% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.69% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.42% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.87% Total : 58.59% | 1-1 @ 10.26% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.8% | 0-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.83% Total : 19.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 92 | 29 | 63 | 84 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 39 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 68 | -37 | 23 |
R | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |