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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14
Dec 30, 2022 at 9.15pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Benfica

Braga
3 - 0
Benfica

Ruiz (2'), Horta (32', 70')
Horta (78'), Jorge (79')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Luis (27'), Silva (85'), Otamendi (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 5-0 Braga
Monday, December 19 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 1-1 Benfica
Saturday, December 17 at 7pm in Taca da Liga

We said: Braga 1-3 Benfica

Off the back of their shock cup exit, Benfica will be looking to make an immediate positive reaction by closing out the year with a win. While we expect Braga to put up a fight, As Aguias boasts the firepower needed to get the job done and we are backing them to claim all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 63.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Braga had a probability of 15.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.77%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Braga win it was 1-0 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
BragaDrawBenfica
15.54% (0.906 0.91) 21.42% (0.812 0.81) 63.04% (-1.717 -1.72)
Both teams to score 48.16% (-0.389 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.9% (-1.666 -1.67)48.1% (1.669 1.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.74% (-1.548 -1.55)70.26% (1.549 1.55)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.42% (0.242 0.24)43.58% (-0.241 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.22% (0.198 0.2)79.78% (-0.19799999999999 -0.2)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.36% (-1.06 -1.06)14.64% (1.06 1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.23% (-2.076 -2.08)42.77% (2.077 2.08)
Score Analysis
    Braga 15.54%
    Benfica 63.02%
    Draw 21.42%
BragaDrawBenfica
1-0 @ 5.3% (0.39 0.39)
2-1 @ 4.23% (0.185 0.19)
2-0 @ 2.2% (0.175 0.18)
3-1 @ 1.17% (0.058 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.13% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 15.54%
1-1 @ 10.18% (0.378 0.38)
0-0 @ 6.38% (0.43 0.43)
2-2 @ 4.06% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 21.42%
0-1 @ 12.25% (0.37 0.37)
0-2 @ 11.77% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 9.78% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 7.54% (-0.351 -0.35)
1-3 @ 6.27% (-0.248 -0.25)
0-4 @ 3.62% (-0.317 -0.32)
1-4 @ 3.01% (-0.241 -0.24)
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-5 @ 1.39% (-0.181 -0.18)
2-4 @ 1.25% (-0.091 -0.09)
1-5 @ 1.16% (-0.141 -0.14)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 63.02%

How you voted: Braga vs Benfica

Braga
12.9%
Draw
14.5%
Benfica
72.6%
62
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2022 8.15pm
Braga
3-2
Benfica
Medeiros (28'), Horta (59'), Oliveira (79')
Ruiz (8'), Elmusrati (30')
Nunez (74' pen.), Mario (77')
Vertonghen (26')
Nov 7, 2021 9.15pm
Benfica
6-1
Braga
Grimaldo (2'), Nunez (37'), Silva (42', 45+3'), Everton (52', 59')
Gilberto (48'), Pizzi (81'), Ramos (83')
Horta (12')
Elmusrati (26'), Mineiro (90')
May 23, 2021 8.30pm
Final
Braga
2-0
Benfica
Piazon (45+3'), Horta (85')
Esgaio (35'), Elmusrati (67'), Novais (82')
Piazon (90+4')

Silva (85'), Tavares (88'), Otamendi (89'), Grimaldo (90+4')
Leite (17'), Taarabt (90+3')
Mar 21, 2021 8pm
Braga
0-2
Benfica

Fransergio (27')
Fransergio (39')
Silva (45+2'), Seferovic (56')
Otamendi (16'), Goncalves (45+1'), Pizzi (65'), Weigl (70')
Jan 20, 2021 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Braga
2-1
Benfica
Ruiz (28'), Tormena (59')
Castro (20'), Sequeira (34'), Esgaio (66'), Fransergio (90+4')
Pizzi (45' pen.)
Todibo (38'), Weigl (52'), Jardel (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon34293296296790
2Benfica34255477284980
3Porto34226663273672
4Braga34215871502168
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes34196952381463
6MoreirenseMoreirense34167113635155
7AroucaArouca34137145450446
8FamalicaoFamalicao341012123741-442
9Casa Pia34108163850-1238
10SC FarenseFarense34107174651-537
11Rio AveRio Ave3461993843-537
12Gil Vicente3499164252-1036
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3496194958-933
14Estrela Amadora34712153353-2033
15BoavistaBoavista34711163962-2332
16PortimonensePortimonense3488183972-3332
RVizela34511183666-3026
RChavesChaves3458213172-4123


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