Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 63.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Braga had a probability of 15.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.77%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Braga win it was 1-0 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Braga | Draw | Benfica |
15.54% ( 0.91) | 21.42% ( 0.81) | 63.04% ( -1.72) |
Both teams to score 48.16% ( -0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.9% ( -1.67) | 48.1% ( 1.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.74% ( -1.55) | 70.26% ( 1.55) |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.42% ( 0.24) | 43.58% ( -0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.22% ( 0.2) | 79.78% ( -0.2) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.36% ( -1.06) | 14.64% ( 1.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.23% ( -2.08) | 42.77% ( 2.08) |
Score Analysis |
Braga | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.39) 2-1 @ 4.23% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.52% Total : 15.54% | 1-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.43) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.8% Total : 21.42% | 0-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.37) 0-2 @ 11.77% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 9.78% ( -0) 0-3 @ 7.54% ( -0.35) 1-3 @ 6.27% ( -0.25) 0-4 @ 3.62% ( -0.32) 1-4 @ 3.01% ( -0.24) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.09) 0-5 @ 1.39% ( -0.18) 2-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.09) 1-5 @ 1.16% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.37% Total : 63.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
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