Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 60.57%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Everton had a probability of 19.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 1-0 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.26%), while for a Everton win it was 1-2 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newcastle United | Draw | Everton |
60.57% ( 0.62) | 20.34% ( -0.14) | 19.08% ( -0.49) |
Both teams to score 59.16% ( -0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.87% ( -0.13) | 37.12% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.68% ( -0.14) | 59.32% ( 0.14) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.09% ( 0.13) | 11.9% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.76% ( 0.28) | 37.24% ( -0.29) |
Everton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.16% ( -0.57) | 32.84% ( 0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.59% ( -0.64) | 69.41% ( 0.63) |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle United | Draw | Everton |
2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 7% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.05) Other @ 4.23% Total : 60.57% | 1-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.24% Total : 20.34% | 1-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 4.35% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.19% Total : 19.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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