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Luton Town
Premier League | Gameweek 32
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Bournemouth logo

Luton
2 - 1
Bournemouth

Clark (73'), Morris (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tavernier (52')

The Match

Match Report

Carlton Morris scores a 90th-minute winner as Luton Town hand their Premier League survival chances a major boost with a 2-1 victory over Bournemouth at Kenilworth Road.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Luton Town and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 2-0 Luton
Wednesday, April 3 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.02%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
Luton TownDrawBournemouth
33.84% (0.892 0.89) 22.44% (0.197 0.2) 43.72% (-1.085 -1.09)
Both teams to score 66.71% (-0.40000000000001 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.25% (-0.65900000000001 -0.66)33.76% (0.663 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.41% (-0.755 -0.75)55.59% (0.758 0.76)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.54% (0.152 0.15)20.47% (-0.148 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.07% (0.23999999999999 0.24)52.94% (-0.235 -0.23)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.88% (-0.661 -0.66)16.12% (0.665 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.46% (-1.221 -1.22)45.55% (1.226 1.23)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 33.84%
    Bournemouth 43.72%
    Draw 22.44%
Luton TownDrawBournemouth
2-1 @ 7.58% (0.159 0.16)
1-0 @ 5.24% (0.202 0.2)
2-0 @ 4.15% (0.179 0.18)
3-1 @ 4.01% (0.102 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.66% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.2% (0.105 0.11)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.048 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 33.84%
1-1 @ 9.55% (0.157 0.16)
2-2 @ 6.91% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.3% (0.113 0.11)
3-3 @ 2.22% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 22.44%
1-2 @ 8.72% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-1 @ 6.02% (0.072 0.07)
0-2 @ 5.5% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-3 @ 5.3% (-0.156 -0.16)
2-3 @ 4.21% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-3 @ 3.34% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-4 @ 2.42% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-4 @ 1.92% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.53% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-4 @ 1.02% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 43.72%

How you voted: Luton vs Bournemouth

Luton Town
31.6%
Draw
15.8%
Bournemouth
52.6%
133
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
Bournemouth
4-3
Luton
Solanke (50'), Zabarnyi (62'), Semenyo (64', 83')
Smith (69')
Chong (9'), Ogbene (31'), Barkley (45+1')
Clark (30'), Ogbene (66')
Jan 15, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 27
Luton
3-2
Bournemouth
Kelly (30' og.), Campbell (42'), Naismith (90+6')
Marcondes (51'), Rogers (78')
Lerma (81'), Christie (89')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Bournemouth
2-1
Luton
Billing (17'), Solanke (31')
Pearson (49'), Lowe (90+2')
Burke (64')
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 24
Bournemouth
0-1
Luton

Billing (90+3')
Lerma (26')
Dewsbury-Hall (67')
Pearson (90+2'), Hylton (90+6')
Dec 19, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal37275589286186
2Manchester CityMan City36267391335885
3Liverpool372310484414379
4Aston Villa37208976562068
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs361961171591263
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd36166145256-454
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


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