Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 70.45%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Sheffield United had a probability of 12.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 1-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.11%), while for a Sheffield United win it was 1-2 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.
Result | ||
Everton | Draw | Sheffield United |
70.45% | 17.33% ( -0) | 12.22% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 52.98% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.92% ( 0.04) | 37.08% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.73% ( 0.05) | 59.27% ( -0.04) |
Everton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.61% ( 0.01) | 9.39% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.4% ( 0.03) | 31.6% ( -0.03) |
Sheffield United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.47% ( 0.03) | 41.53% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.97% ( 0.03) | 78.02% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Everton | Draw | Sheffield United |
2-0 @ 10.91% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.6% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.56% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.09% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.47% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.41% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.12% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.96% ( 0) 6-0 @ 0.95% ( 0) 5-2 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 3.32% Total : 70.45% | 1-1 @ 8.11% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 17.33% | 1-2 @ 3.56% ( 0) 0-1 @ 3.43% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.51% 2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 1.45% Total : 12.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
> Premier League Full Table |