Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Toronto win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for FC Cincinnati has a probability of 35.79% and a draw has a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest FC Cincinnati win is 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.34%).
Result | ||
Toronto | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
39.75% ( 3.66) | 24.46% ( 0.15) | 35.79% ( -3.81) |
Both teams to score 59.61% ( -0.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.78% ( -0.76) | 43.22% ( 0.76) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.38% ( -0.76) | 65.62% ( 0.76) |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.23% ( 1.53) | 21.76% ( -1.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.04% ( 2.27) | 54.96% ( -2.27) |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.19% ( -2.3) | 23.8% ( 2.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.03% ( -3.41) | 57.97% ( 3.41) |
Score Analysis |
Toronto | Draw | FC Cincinnati |
2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.47) 1-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.6) 2-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.71) 3-1 @ 4.39% ( 0.43) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 3.06% ( 0.48) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.23) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.23) Other @ 2.53% Total : 39.75% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.46% | 1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.48) 0-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.58) 1-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.52) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.25) 0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.48) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( -0.3) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.17) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.25) Other @ 2.08% Total : 35.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 31 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 30 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 23 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
5 | Toronto | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 21 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 21 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 17 |
9 | DC United | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Orlando City | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
11 | Nashville SCNashville | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 28 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
4 | Austin FCAustin | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 21 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 21 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 18 |
9 | St Louis City | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Dallas | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 10 |