Major League Soccer
May 28, 2023 at 8pm UK
Children's Mercy Park
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 61.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 17.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.98%), while for a Portland Timbers win it was 0-1 (5.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.
Result |
Sporting Kansas City | Draw | Portland Timbers |
61.75% ( 0.03) | 21.08% ( -0.01) | 17.16% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 52.74% ( -0.01) |