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St Louis City
Major League Soccer
Mar 3, 2024 at 1.30am UK
CityPark
New York City

St Louis City
2 - 0
NY City

Pompeu (34'), Adeniran (72')
Markanich (21'), Vassilev (41'), Totland (45+3'), Durkin (82'), Ostrak (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Perea (28'), Sands (51'), Ilencic (88')
Sands (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between St Louis City and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Houston 1-0 St Louis City
Wednesday, February 28 at 3.30am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-0 NY City
Sunday, February 25 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: St Louis City 1-0 New York City FC

St Louis always seem to find a way to win at home, while the Pigeons might need some time to find that creativity which could unlock opposing defences. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 33.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Louis City would win this match.

Result
St Louis CityDrawNew York City FC
39.21% (-0.231 -0.23) 26.81% (0.204 0.2) 33.97% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.27% (-0.641 -0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.18% (-0.817 -0.82)53.81% (0.817 0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.71% (-0.691 -0.69)75.28% (0.69200000000001 0.69)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.18% (-0.50700000000001 -0.51)26.81% (0.508 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.89% (-0.671 -0.67)62.1% (0.67299999999999 0.67)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.05% (-0.38699999999999 -0.39)29.94% (0.388 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.95% (-0.468 -0.47)66.05% (0.46900000000001 0.47)
Score Analysis
    St Louis City 39.2%
    New York City FC 33.97%
    Draw 26.81%
St Louis CityDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 10.56% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 8.39% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
2-0 @ 6.96% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.68% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.05% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 39.2%
1-1 @ 12.74% (0.09 0.09)
0-0 @ 8.03% (0.254 0.25)
2-2 @ 5.06% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.81%
0-1 @ 9.68% (0.204 0.2)
1-2 @ 7.68% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.84% (0.061999999999999 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.09% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.35%
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-4 @ 0.93% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 33.97%

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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami18105342271535
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York City FCNY City169252417729
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls178542923629
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC177461818025
6Columbus Crew146622113824
7Toronto177372626024
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia164842723420
9Nashville SCNashville164752022-219
10DC United174762531-619
11Orlando City164571624-817
12CF MontrealMontreal164572335-1217
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta164482221116
14Chicago Fire173681729-1215
15New England RevolutionNew England1541101227-1513

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1796236191733
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles169342819930
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd168532821729
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy177733125628
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver167452419525
6Austin FCAustin176562125-423
7Houston DynamoHouston166461818022
8Colorado RapidsColorado176472931-222
9Portland TimbersPortland185673232021
10Seattle SoundersSeattle174672021-118
11St Louis City163942325-218
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas173592632-614
13Dallas163581825-714
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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