Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Philadelphia Union | 21 | 18 | 39 |
2 | New York City FC | 20 | 19 | 38 |
3 | New York Red Bulls | 21 | 6 | 33 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | New England Revolution | 20 | -2 | 25 |
9 | Inter Miami | 20 | -5 | 25 |
10 | Atlanta United | 20 | 1 | 24 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 74.12%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 9.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.33%) and 3-0 (10.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (3.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for New York City FC in this match.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | Inter Miami |
74.12% ( -0.01) | 16.53% ( 0.01) | 9.35% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 45.14% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.2% ( -0.04) | 41.8% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.8% ( -0.04) | 64.2% ( 0.04) |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.27% ( -0.01) | 9.73% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.6% ( -0.03) | 32.4% ( 0.03) |
Inter Miami Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.01% ( -0.02) | 49.99% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.35% ( -0.02) | 84.65% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | Inter Miami |
2-0 @ 13.2% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 11.33% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 9.15% 3-1 @ 7.11% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.97% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.14% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.78% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.93% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 3.26% Total : 74.11% | 1-1 @ 7.86% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.17% ( -0) Other @ 0.63% Total : 16.53% | 0-1 @ 3.37% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.72% 0-2 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.08% Total : 9.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 29 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 27 | -15 | 13 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 29 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 16 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 14 |
13 | Dallas | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 14 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |