Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 55.9%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 22.99% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.63%) and 1-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
55.9% ( -3.75) | 21.11% ( 0.58) | 22.99% ( 3.17) |
Both teams to score 62.69% ( 2.84) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.71% ( 1.54) | 35.28% ( -1.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.69% ( 1.69) | 57.3% ( -1.69) |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.35% ( -0.58) | 12.64% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.2% ( -1.21) | 38.79% ( 1.21) |
Colorado Rapids Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.77% ( 3.7) | 28.23% ( -3.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.07% ( 4.44) | 63.93% ( -4.45) |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.98) 1-0 @ 7.38% ( -0.77) 3-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.28) 3-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.81) 3-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.25) 4-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.23) 4-0 @ 2.72% ( -0.49) 4-2 @ 2.18% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.42% ( -0.13) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.23) 4-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.31% Total : 55.9% | 1-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.49) 0-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.28) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.27) Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.11% | 1-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.59) 0-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.34) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.44) 1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.47) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.25) Other @ 3.45% Total : 22.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |