Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for CF Montreal had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.13%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest CF Montreal win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Columbus Crew would win this match.
Result | ||
CF Montreal | Draw | Columbus Crew |
35.65% ( 0.01) | 23.71% ( 0) | 40.64% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 62.38% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.39% ( -0.01) | 39.6% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.05% ( -0.01) | 61.95% ( 0.01) |
CF Montreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.77% ( 0) | 22.22% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.35% ( 0.01) | 55.65% ( -0.01) |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.2% ( -0.01) | 19.79% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.14% ( -0.02) | 51.85% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
CF Montreal | Draw | Columbus Crew |
2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.62% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.98% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.04% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.27% 3-0 @ 2.49% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.23% 4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 35.65% | 1-1 @ 10.71% 2-2 @ 6.53% 0-0 @ 4.4% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.7% | 1-2 @ 8.68% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.13% 0-2 @ 5.77% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.69% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.52% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.12% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.9% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 40.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 31 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 30 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 23 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
5 | Toronto | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 21 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 21 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 17 |
9 | DC United | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Orlando City | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
11 | Nashville SCNashville | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 12 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 10 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 28 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 24 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
4 | Austin FCAustin | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
5 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 21 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 21 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 19 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 18 |
9 | St Louis City | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 16 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 29 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Dallas | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 10 |