Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 53.54%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 23.49% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.53%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Minnesota United | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
53.54% ( 1.1) | 22.97% ( -0.16) | 23.49% ( -0.93) |
Both teams to score 56.71% ( -0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.54% ( -0.22) | 43.46% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.15% ( -0.22) | 65.86% ( 0.22) |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.8% ( 0.31) | 16.2% ( -0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.32% ( 0.56) | 45.68% ( -0.56) |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.67% ( -0.91) | 32.33% ( 0.91) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.17% ( -1.04) | 68.84% ( 1.05) |
Score Analysis |
Minnesota United | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.26) 3-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.99% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.36% Total : 53.54% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.97% | 1-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.53% Total : 23.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 34 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 33 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
5 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 23 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Toronto | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 18 |
9 | DC United | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
10 | Nashville SCNashville | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 16 |
11 | Orlando City | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 16 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 13 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 11 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 25 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 25 |
4 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Austin FCAustin | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 23 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 18 |
9 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 17 |
10 | Portland TimbersPortland | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 16 |
11 | St Louis City | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Dallas | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 11 |