Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 43.39%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.84%) and 2-0 (5.93%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 1-2 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Minnesota United | Draw | Columbus Crew |
43.39% ( -0.39) | 23.13% ( 0.14) | 33.48% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 63.94% ( -0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.67% ( -0.63) | 37.33% ( 0.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.46% ( -0.68) | 59.54% ( 0.67) |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.32% ( -0.41) | 17.68% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.68% ( -0.71) | 48.31% ( 0.7) |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.67% ( -0.16) | 22.33% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.19% ( -0.24) | 55.81% ( 0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Minnesota United | Draw | Columbus Crew |
2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.13% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.96% Total : 43.39% | 1-1 @ 10.25% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.35% Total : 23.13% | 1-2 @ 7.69% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.36% Total : 33.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 34 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 33 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
5 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 23 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Toronto | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 18 |
9 | DC United | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
10 | Nashville SCNashville | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 16 |
11 | Orlando City | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 16 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 13 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 11 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 25 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 25 |
4 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Austin FCAustin | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 23 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 18 |
9 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 17 |
10 | Portland TimbersPortland | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 16 |
11 | St Louis City | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Dallas | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 11 |