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Atlanta United
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DC United
FC Dallas
FC Cincinnati
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Los Angeles FC
LA Galaxy
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New York City
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Orlando City
Philadelphia Union
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San Jose Earthquakes
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St Louis City
Toronto FC
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FC Dallas
Major League Soccer
Feb 25, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Toyota Stadium
San Jose Earthquakes

Dallas
2 - 1
Earthquakes

Illarramendi (25'), Sealy (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kikanovic (6')
Gruezo (21'), Rodrigues (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Dallas and San Jose Earthquakes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dallas 1-0 Inter Miami
Monday, January 22 at 11pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Kansas 0-0 Earthquakes (4-2 pen.)
Thursday, October 26 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Dallas 2-1 San Jose Earthquakes

In an opening match of the season which could be quite cagey, Dallas having home-field advantage could make all the difference on Saturday night. The Toros will be raring to unleash record-signing Musa on MLS, and we reckon that the Portuguese attacker will have a winning start to life in North America. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 42.04%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 31.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dallas in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Dallas.

Result
DallasDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
42.04% (0.435 0.44) 26.33% (0.136 0.14) 31.62% (-0.569 -0.57)
Both teams to score 52.12% (-0.63800000000001 -0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.57% (-0.728 -0.73)52.42% (0.73 0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.9% (-0.629 -0.63)74.1% (0.631 0.63)
Dallas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.32% (-0.102 -0.1)24.67% (0.104 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.79% (-0.145 -0.15)59.2% (0.148 0.15)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.19% (-0.752 -0.75)30.8% (0.753 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.92% (-0.896 -0.9)67.08% (0.898 0.9)
Score Analysis
    Dallas 42.03%
    San Jose Earthquakes 31.62%
    Draw 26.33%
DallasDrawSan Jose Earthquakes
1-0 @ 10.63% (0.27 0.27)
2-1 @ 8.76% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.44% (0.168 0.17)
3-1 @ 4.09% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 3.47% (0.069 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.43% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 42.03%
1-1 @ 12.52% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.6% (0.217 0.22)
2-2 @ 5.16% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 8.95% (0.074 0.07)
1-2 @ 7.37% (-0.116 -0.12)
0-2 @ 5.27% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.89% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-3 @ 2.07% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 31.62%

Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 1.30am
May 28, 2023 3.30am
Earthquakes
1-1
Dallas
Kikanovic (70')
Yueill (25'), Marie (49'), Gruezo (90+9'), Judson (90')
Judson (90+10')
Burgess (90+4')
Farfan (69'), Burgess (90')
Sep 18, 2022 3.30am
Nov 7, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 44
Earthquakes
1-1
Dallas
Wondolowski (34')
Beason (28'), Vega (38')
Obrian (42')
Cerrillo (52'), Pomykal (56'), Schon (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami16104238211734
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1510322314933
3New York City FCNY City158251916326
4Columbus Crew146622113824
5New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC156451413122
7Toronto157172424022
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia144642521418
9DC United154652125-418
10Nashville SCNashville143741720-316
11Orlando City144461522-716
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta143471717013
13CF MontrealMontreal143471731-1413
14Chicago Fire152581427-1311
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1585230171329
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd137422417725
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy156722722525
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles147342519624
5Austin FCAustin156542018223
6Colorado RapidsColorado156452726122
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver145452017319
8Houston DynamoHouston145361315-218
9Seattle SoundersSeattle154561818017
10Portland TimbersPortland154472830-216
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas133461620-413
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas142572226-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1532102334-1111


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