Major League Soccer
May 7, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Bank of America Stadium
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 36.15% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Charlotte FC would win this match.