Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 55.58%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 23.33% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.48%) and 1-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Atlanta United | Draw | Minnesota United |
55.58% ( -0.92) | 21.09% ( 0.3) | 23.33% ( 0.62) |
Both teams to score 63.21% ( -0.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.2% ( -0.71) | 34.8% ( 0.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.23% ( -0.79) | 56.76% ( 0.79) |
Atlanta United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.42% ( -0.5) | 12.58% ( 0.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.34% ( -1.03) | 38.65% ( 1.03) |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.31% ( 0.1) | 27.69% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.75% ( 0.13) | 63.24% ( -0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Atlanta United | Draw | Minnesota United |
2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.08) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.07) 4-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.45% Total : 55.58% | 1-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.12) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.09% | 1-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 4.47% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.61% Total : 23.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |