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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Apr 23, 2023 at 9.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Chicago Fire

Atlanta
2 - 1
Chicago Fire

Giakoumakis (13'), Haile-Selassie (90+9' og.)
Giakoumakis (24')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Przybylko (90')
Herbers (34'), Teran (77'), Gimenez (80'), Dean (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toronto 2-2 Atlanta
Sunday, April 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 2-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, April 16 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 3-0 Chicago Fire

While each have left points on the table, the Five Stripes seem to be finding more consistency and still looked fairly sharp last week without Almada. Chicago have not been quite as solid from one game to another, and Chris Brady has made numerous blunders in goal which are absolute momentum killers and something which we think Atlanta could capitalise on.

How to watch

You can watch Atlanta United vs. Chicago Fire and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 58.35%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 20.14%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.28%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.01%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atlanta United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atlanta United.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawChicago Fire
58.35% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 21.5% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 20.14% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.91% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.05% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)40.94% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.66% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)63.34% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.24% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)13.76% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.94% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)41.05% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.99% (0.0019999999999953 0)34.01% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.31% (0.00099999999999767 0)70.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 58.35%
    Chicago Fire 20.14%
    Draw 21.5%
Atlanta UnitedDrawChicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.93%
1-0 @ 9.28% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 9.2%
3-1 @ 6.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.09% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.54% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 3.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 3.02% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.29% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 58.35%
1-1 @ 10.01% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.35%
0-0 @ 4.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.5%
1-2 @ 5.4% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 5.05% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 2.72% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.94% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.93%
0-3 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 20.14%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Chicago Fire

Atlanta United
75.0%
Draw
16.7%
Chicago Fire
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Jul 30, 2022 10pm
Chicago Fire
0-0
Atlanta

Duran (41'), Shaqiri (63')

Sosa (81'), Dwyer (90+5')
May 7, 2022 11pm
Atlanta
4-1
Chicago Fire
Cisneros (3', 27', 36'), Lennon (90+1')
Araujo (45+4')
Offor (11')
Navarro (30'), Offor (36'), Mueller (72')
Jul 4, 2021 1am
gameweek 13
Chicago Fire
3-0
Atlanta
Aliseda (34', 45+6'), Frankowski (58')
Bornstein (26'), Frankowski (31')

Bello (27'), Wolff (52'), Walkes (69')
Apr 25, 2021 1am
gameweek 2
Atlanta
3-1
Chicago Fire
Barco (23'), Kappelhof (66' og.), Hyndman (85')
Mulraney (27'), Barco (70'), Hyndman (81')
Stojanovic (46')
Gimenez (90')
Sep 28, 2020 12.30am
gameweek 13
Chicago Fire
2-0
Atlanta
Herbers (7'), Beric (39')

Mo (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami16104238211734
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1510322314933
3New York City FCNY City158251916326
4Columbus Crew146622113824
5New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls146532521423
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC156451413122
7Toronto157172424022
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia144642521418
9DC United154652125-418
10Nashville SCNashville143741720-316
11Orlando City144461522-716
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta143471717013
13CF MontrealMontreal143471731-1413
14Chicago Fire152581427-1311
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1585230171329
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd137422417725
3Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy156722722525
4Los Angeles FCLos Angeles147342519624
5Austin FCAustin156542018223
6Colorado RapidsColorado156452726122
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver145452017319
8Houston DynamoHouston145361315-218
9Seattle SoundersSeattle154561818017
10Portland TimbersPortland154472830-216
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas133461620-413
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas142572226-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1532102334-1111


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