Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 46.69%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 26.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.61%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Metz in this match.
Result | ||
Metz | Draw | Clermont |
46.69% ( -0.76) | 26.73% ( 0.02) | 26.58% ( 0.74) |
Both teams to score 48.1% ( 0.51) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.75% ( 0.38) | 56.25% ( -0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.71% ( 0.3) | 77.29% ( -0.3) |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.92% ( -0.19) | 24.08% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.64% ( -0.28) | 58.36% ( 0.28) |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.36% ( 0.84) | 36.65% ( -0.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.57% ( 0.83) | 73.44% ( -0.83) |
Score Analysis |
Metz | Draw | Clermont |
1-0 @ 12.56% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 4.26% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.53% Total : 46.69% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.73% | 0-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 4.45% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.83% Total : 26.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |