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La Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 16, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Sevilla logo

Valencia
0 - 2
Sevilla


Duro (85')
Moriba (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bade (55'), Suso (75')
Ocampos (41'), Jordan (51'), Montiel (81'), Gudelj (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Almeria 2-1 Valencia
Sunday, April 9 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Man Utd 2-2 Sevilla
Thursday, April 13 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Valencia 1-1 Sevilla

This is destined to be a cagey clash between two high-profile clubs battling for La Liga safety, so we expect Valencia and Sevilla to play out a close-fought draw at the Mestalla. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 46.68%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
ValenciaDrawSevilla
46.68% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 26.11% (-0.07 -0.07) 27.21% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 50.37% (0.26300000000001 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.46% (0.313 0.31)53.53% (-0.314 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.95% (0.264 0.26)75.05% (-0.265 -0.27)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.08% (0.128 0.13)22.91% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.32% (0.187 0.19)56.67% (-0.187 -0.19)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.34% (0.233 0.23)34.66% (-0.234 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.61% (0.247 0.25)71.38% (-0.249 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 46.68%
    Sevilla 27.21%
    Draw 26.1%
ValenciaDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 11.7% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9.14% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.62% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.49% (0.025 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.23% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.38% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.65% (0.015 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.56% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 46.68%
1-1 @ 12.39% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.94% (-0.098999999999999 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 8.41% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-2 @ 6.57% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.46% (0.0029999999999992 0)
1-3 @ 2.32% (0.025 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.71% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.58% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 27.21%

How you voted: Valencia vs Sevilla

Valencia
29.0%
Draw
33.3%
Sevilla
37.7%
69
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2022 6pm
Jan 19, 2022 8.30pm
Valencia
1-1
Sevilla
Guedes (44')
Gaya (45+2'), Lato (86')
Gaya (89')
Diakhaby (7' og.)
Acuna (45+2'), Montiel (45+4'), Torres (90+4')
Sep 22, 2021 6.30pm
Sevilla
3-1
Valencia
Papu (3'), Lato (15' og.), Mir (22')
Lamela (17'), Montiel (30'), Mir (35'), Jordan (51'), Gudelj (82')
Duro (31')
Lato (17'), Alderete (17'), Diakhaby (68')
May 12, 2021 6pm
Jan 27, 2021 6pm
Fourth Round
Sevilla
3-0
Valencia
De Jong (20', 33'), Rakitic (38')
Acuna (62'), Vidal (80'), El Haddadi (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid38298187266195
2Barcelona38267579443585
3GironaGirona38256785463981
4Atletico MadridAtletico382441070432776
5Athletic Bilbao381911861372468
6Real Sociedad3816121051391260
7Real BetisBetis38141594845357
8Villarreal381411136565053
9Valencia381310154045-549
10AlavesAlaves381210163646-1046
11Osasuna38129174556-1145
12Getafe381013154254-1243
13Celta Vigo381011174657-1141
14Sevilla381011174854-641
15Mallorca38816143344-1140
16Las PalmasLas Palmas381010183347-1440
17Rayo Vallecano38814162948-1938
RCadizCadiz38615172655-2933
RAlmeria38312234375-3221
RGranada3849253879-4121


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