Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 37.3%. A win for Girona had a probability of 34.71% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-0 (10.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
Result | ||
Girona | Draw | Las Palmas |
34.71% ( 1.06) | 27.99% ( 0.27) | 37.3% ( -1.34) |
Both teams to score 47.76% ( -0.67) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.73% ( -0.9) | 58.27% ( 0.89) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.1% ( -0.71) | 78.9% ( 0.71) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.29% ( 0.25) | 31.7% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.88% ( 0.28) | 68.12% ( -0.28) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.93% ( -1.23) | 30.07% ( 1.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.8% ( -1.51) | 66.2% ( 1.51) |
Score Analysis |
Girona | Draw | Las Palmas |
1-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.44) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 6.29% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 2.89% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.87% Total : 34.71% | 1-1 @ 13.15% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.98% | 0-1 @ 11.45% 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.2) 0-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.36% Total : 37.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 37 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 94 |
2 | Barcelona | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 77 | 43 | 34 | 82 |
3 | GironaGirona | 37 | 24 | 6 | 7 | 78 | 46 | 32 | 78 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 4 | 10 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 65 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 16 | 12 | 9 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 14 | 14 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 56 |
8 | Villarreal | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 64 | 64 | 0 | 52 |
9 | Valencia | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 48 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 45 |
11 | Osasuna | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 44 |
12 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 43 |
13 | Sevilla | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 41 |
14 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 40 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 39 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 8 | 14 | 15 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 38 |
17 | Mallorca | 37 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 37 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 33 |
R | Granada | 37 | 4 | 9 | 24 | 38 | 72 | -34 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 37 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 18 |
> La Liga Full Table |