La Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 23, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de los Juegos Mediterraneos
Almeria2 - 2Valencia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Villarreal 2-1 Almeria
Sunday, September 17 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Sunday, September 17 at 3.15pm in La Liga
We said: Almeria 1-2 Valencia
Valencia played some excellent football against Atletico last time out, and we are backing Los Che to shade a close contest on Saturday. Almeria have a talented squad, but they are finding it difficult to get going at the moment, which could lead to another defeat this weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Almeria win was 1-0 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Almeria | Draw | Valencia |
28.01% ( 0.53) | 26.93% ( 0.15) | 45.05% ( -0.67) |
| Both teams to score 48.49% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
