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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Sittard win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for NEC had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.04%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | NEC |
46.02% ( -0.13) | 22.9% ( 0.02) | 31.08% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 63.69% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.81% ( -0.03) | 37.19% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.61% ( -0.04) | 59.39% ( 0.03) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.4% ( -0.06) | 16.6% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.59% ( -0.11) | 46.4% ( 0.11) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.37% ( 0.05) | 23.63% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.28% ( 0.07) | 57.72% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | NEC |
2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.04% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.42% Total : 46.02% | 1-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.92% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.9% Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.9% | 1-2 @ 7.33% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 31.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
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