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EFL Cup
Blackburn logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 27, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Ewood Park (Blackburn, Lancashire)
Cardiff City logo

Blackburn
5 - 2
Cardiff

Garrett (13'), Sigurdsson (36'), Moran (49', 54'), Markanday (69')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Robinson (18'), Etete (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Blackburn Rovers and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Blackburn Rovers

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Ipswich 4-3 Blackburn
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Championship

Cardiff City

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Sunderland 0-1 Cardiff
Sunday, September 24 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 1-2 Cardiff City

 With changes aplenty expected, it is impossible to predict the outcome of this contest with any great certainty. Nevertheless, we can only go with the Bluebirds who, despite only returning to South Wales late on Sunday night, are playing with an added belief under Bulut. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 49.06%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawCardiff City
49.06% (-0.174 -0.17) 24.41% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 26.52% (0.138 0.14)
Both teams to score 55.12% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.96% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)47.04% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.71% (-0.026 -0.03)69.28% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.77% (-0.082000000000008 -0.08)19.23% (0.077000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.07% (-0.133 -0.13)50.93% (0.128 0.13)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.24% (0.093999999999994 0.09)31.75% (-0.099 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.82% (0.11 0.11)68.18% (-0.11500000000001 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 49.06%
    Cardiff City 26.52%
    Draw 24.4%
Blackburn RoversDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 10.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.3% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.23% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.56% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.16% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.88% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 49.06%
1-1 @ 11.54% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.46% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.4%
0-1 @ 7% (0.025 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.62% (0.026 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.02% (0.025 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.53% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.54% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 26.52%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Cardiff

Blackburn Rovers
36.8%
Draw
13.2%
Cardiff City
50.0%
38
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 26
Blackburn
1-0
Cardiff
Dack (48')
> Preview
Oct 4, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 13
Cardiff
1-0
Blackburn
Harris (83')
> Preview
Jan 15, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 27
Cardiff
0-1
Blackburn

Drameh (41'), Ng (59'), Collins (73'), Pack (90+4')
Rothwell (14')
Paul van Hecke (42'), Travis (50'), Lenihan (56'), Nyambe (59'), Gallagher (90'), Kaminski (90+1')
Nyambe (76')
> Preview
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Blackburn
5-1
Cardiff
Gallagher (24'), Brereton Diaz (32', 45+1', 90' pen.), Dolan (53')
Morrison (58')
Flint (8'), Phillips (89')
> Match Report
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 41
Cardiff
2-2
Blackburn
Vaulks (27'), Ralls (70')
Murphy (44'), Ralls (75')
Armstrong (43', 90')
Kaminski (19'), Lenihan (65')
> Match Report
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