Champions League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 13, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Atletico2 - 1Inter Milan
FT
(aet)
(aet)
Atletico win 3-2 on penalties
The Match
Match Report
Atletico Madrid beat last season's finalists Inter Milan 3-2 on penalties to progress to the Champions League quarter-finals.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Atletico Madrid and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cadiz 2-0 Atletico
Saturday, March 9 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Saturday, March 9 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Bologna 0-1 Inter Milan
Saturday, March 9 at 5pm in Serie A
Saturday, March 9 at 5pm in Serie A
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%).
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Inter Milan |
40.06% ( 2.07) | 26.15% ( 0.64) | 33.78% ( -2.72) |
Both teams to score 53.35% ( -2.58) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.85% ( -3.13) | 51.14% ( 3.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.01% ( -2.81) | 72.99% ( 2.81) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.87% ( -0.32) | 25.12% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.17% ( -0.44) | 59.83% ( 0.44) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.25% ( -3.12) | 28.75% ( 3.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.41% ( -4.07) | 64.59% ( 4.07) |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid 40.06%
Inter Milan 33.78%
Draw 26.15%
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Inter Milan |
1-0 @ 9.98% ( 1.11) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.71) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.3) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.55% Total : 40.06% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.37) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.87) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.37) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 9% ( 0.35) 1-2 @ 7.75% ( -0.46) 0-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.28) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.51) 0-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.34) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.37) 1-4 @ 1% ( -0.27) Other @ 2.63% Total : 33.78% |
How you voted: Atletico vs Inter Milan
Atletico Madrid
24.4%Draw
13.1%Inter Milan
62.4%426
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-08 05:11:26
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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