Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 23, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Weserstadion
We said: Werder Bremen 1-1 FC Koln
Baumgart has been loath to label Koln's current predicament a "crisis", and with good reason too, as the Billy Goats have only been bested by Borussia Dortmund in their last six away games and can restore a small slice of pride against a leaky Werder Bremen crop.
The hosts are very rarely kept at arm's length in front of their own fans, though, and we can see another low-scoring draw being played out between the two sides, as was the case four months ago.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 53.29% . A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 24.26% and a draw had a probability of 22.4% .
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.74% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.55%) and 0-2 (8.07%) . The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (6.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%) . The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood .
Result Werder Bremen Draw FC Koln 24.26% ( -0.01) 22.44% ( 0) 53.29% ( 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.47% ( -0.03)
59.76% ( -0.03) 40.23% ( 0.02)
37.39% ( -0.03) 62.6% ( 0.02)
70.08% ( -0.03) 29.92% ( 0.02)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 33.97% ( -0.03) 66.02% ( 0.03)
84.86% ( -0.01) 15.14% ( 0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 56.28% ( -0.01) 43.72% ( 0.01)
Werder Bremen 24.26%
FC Koln 53.29%
Draw 22.43%
Werder Bremen Draw FC Koln 2-1 @ 6.23% ( -0) 1-0 @ 5.47% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.3% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.5% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 24.26% 1-1 @ 10.31% 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.53% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.43% 1-2 @ 9.74% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.07% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.13% 0-3 @ 5.08% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.7% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.89% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.4% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.75% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.09% ( -0) 0-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.99% Total : 53.29%
How you voted: Werder Bremen vs FC Koln
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rhs 2.0
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