Bundesliga | Gameweek 29
Apr 13, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Stadion im BORUSSIA-PARK
We said: Borussia Monchengladbach 2-3 Borussia Dortmund
While Dortmund will have one eye on their midweek fixture against Atletico Madrid, they cannot afford to give up any more points in the league, with a spot in next season's Champions League still hanging in the balance.
Each of the last four matches between these sides have ended with six goals scored, and we are expecting another high-scoring affair here, though we feel that the visitors will be the ones to come out on top.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 41.8% . A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 22.4% .
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.72%) and 2-0 (5.14%) . The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (7.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.44%) . The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result Borussia Monchengladbach Draw Borussia Dortmund 41.8% ( 0.14) 22.41% ( -0.03) 35.79% ( -0.11)
Both teams to score 67.41% ( 0.1)
66.93% ( 0.14) 33.06% ( -0.14)
45.2% ( 0.16) 54.8% ( -0.16)
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals
83.41% ( 0.11) 16.59% ( -0.11)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 53.61% ( 0.2) 46.39% ( -0.2)
80.81% ( 0.01) 19.18% ( -0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 49.14% ( 0.02) 50.86% ( -0.02)
Borussia Monchengladbach 41.8%
Borussia Dortmund 35.79%
Draw 22.41%
Borussia Monchengladbach Draw Borussia Dortmund 2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.72% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.14% 3-1 @ 5.08% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.54% Total : 41.8% 1-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 7% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.41% 1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.85% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.59% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 35.79%
How you voted: Borussia M'bach vs Dortmund
Borussia Monchengladbach
Draw
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Monchengladbach
19.4%
36
rhs 2.0
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