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Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Dec 20, 2020 at 5pm UK
 
Stuttgart

Wolfsburg
1 - 0
Stuttgart

Brekalo (49')
Steffen (76'), Gerhardt (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gonzalez (20'), Anton (48'), Mangala (86')

Preview: Wolfsburg vs. Stuttgart - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Two of the Bundesliga's over-achieving sides so far this season face off on Sunday, with Wolfsburg able to end the calendar year in a top-four position with a win.

Stuttgart, meanwhile, would overtake their opponents in the table by beating them.


Match preview

Wolfsburg manager Oliver Glasner pictured in October 2020© Reuters

Wolfsburg's unbeaten domestic record this season was ended by a 2-1 loss at Bayern Munich on Wednesday, but Oliver Glasner will be looking to ensure his players remain upbeat after their recent excellent form as well as the unfortunate nature of that defeat at the hands of the Bavarians.

After Maximilian Philipp had put the Wolves ahead in the early exchanges, Robert Lewandowski struck either side of half time to earn a crucial victory for the reigning Bundesliga and European champions.

However, the recent Best FIFA Player of the Year award winner's brace represented Bayern's only two shots on target across the entire 90 minutes, with Wolfsburg testing Manuel Neuer on six occasions (including Philipp's early goal).

Glasner will be confident that, if his players perform as well as they did in Munich against Stuttgart on Sunday, they will have every chance of ending the calendar year in a Champions League qualification position.

Stuttgart manager Pellegrino Matarazzo pictured in October 2020© Reuters

Stuttgart, meanwhile, failed to overtake their opponents Union Berlin in the table on Tuesday after an entertaining 2-2 draw with Urs Fischer's side.

Pellegrino Matarazzo will have been relieved to have avoided defeat in the end having trailed 2-0 heading into the final stages of the game. Marvin Freidrich and Taiwo Awoniyi, on loan from Liverpool, scored for the visitors, with Sasa Kalajdzic's late brace rescuing a point for Stuttgart.

Bizarrely, Matarazzo's side have failed to win at home in their six games at Mercendes-Benz Arena this season, performing much better on the road with four wins and two draws having remained unbeaten away from home so far this campaign.

The 43-year-old will feel confident his side can overtake their opponents in the table with a victory on Sunday, then, and potentially end the calendar year in fifth place in Germany's top flight, which would be an exceptional achievement, having only secured promotion in June.

Wolfsburg Bundesliga form: WWWDWL

Stuttgart Bundesliga form: DDLWWD


Team News

Bayer Leverkusen's Kerem Demirbay in action with Wolfsburg's Wout Weghorst in the Bundesliga in May 2020© Reuters

Wolfsburg remain without Admir Mehmedi through injury, but Joshua Guilavogui did make his long-awaited comeback from the substitutes' bench in the defeat to Bayern.

John Brooks should return to the heart of the defence having missed the trip to Munich.

Stuttgart have several players injured, with Erik Thommy, Clinton Mola, Atakan Karazor, Momo Cisse, Maxime Awoudja and Hamadi Al Ghaddioui all unable to make the trip to Wolfsburg.

Kalajdzic will be hoping for a start after earning a point for his side against Union Berlin in midweek, with Tanguy Coulibaly also primed for a return to the XI.

Wolfsburg possible starting lineup:
Casteels; Mbabu, Lacroix, Brooks, Roussillon; Schlager, Arnold; Baku, Philipp, Brekalo; Weghorst

Stuttgart possible starting lineup:
Kobel; Mavropanos, Anton, Kempf; Wamangituka, Sosa, Endo, Castro, Coulibaly; Kalajdzic, Gonzalez


SM words green background

We say: Wolfsburg 2-2 Stuttgart

We can envisage an entertaining draw, with both sides keeping their respective home and away unbeaten records so far this season intact.

Both sides are packed with attacking quality without wholly sacrificing defensive solidity, so it should make for an intriguing encounter.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.28%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.


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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen30255075205580
2Bayern MunichBayern30213687375066
3Stuttgart30203768363263
4RB Leipzig30185769343559
5Borussia DortmundDortmund30169558352357
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt30111274640645
7Freiburg30117124253-1140
8Augsburg30109114849-139
9Hoffenheim30116135360-739
10Heidenheim30810124352-934
11Werder Bremen3097143850-1234
12Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach30710135360-731
13Wolfsburg3087153550-1531
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3085172650-2429
15Mainz 05Mainz30512133148-1727
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum30512133460-2627
17FC Koln30410162353-3022
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3038193072-4217


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